Everyday essentials are the primary driver of consumer spending right now, with non-discretionary purchases like groceries and gasoline outpacing discretionary ones.

This blog explores the October edition of the Velera Payments Index, which features a quarterly metrics update, including the latest stats on credit card balances, delinquencies and digital wallet activity.

Here’s what you’ll learn:

The numbers behind strong consumer spending in September
How the popularity of digital wallet purchases, especially debit, is continuing to grow
Strategies credit unions can use to maximize engagement and best support their members

In the October edition of the Velera Payments Index, we saw that consumer spending remained strong, despite weakening confidence, rising inflation and ongoing affordability concerns.

Consumer confidence indicators declined in September. The Consumer Confidence Index score fell 6.7 points to 81.9, reaching its lowest level in more than a decade. The University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment results fell to 48.1 from 51.7 in August, reaching its lowest level in four months.

Key Takeaways
Despite financial pressure, consumers continued to spend – largely on essential items. Key takeaways from the October edition of the Payments Index included:

Debit purchases surged 9.5% year over year and credit purchases rose 6% in September.
Purchase growth for both payment types continued to be driven by the Goods sector, and Gasoline remained a key driver amid elevated fuel prices.
Debit non-discretionary purchases rose 9.6% year over year versus 8.6% for discretionary.
Credit nondiscretionary purchases were up 6.7% compared with 2.8% for discretionary.
Wage growth trailed inflation, while unemployment edged up to 4.2%.

“The disconnect between consumer sentiment and spending continues to widen. We continue to see a shift in how and where consumers spend, with everyday essentials accounting for a larger share of growth, while digital payment methods are becoming even more ingrained in daily life. As consumers look for value and convenience, credit unions have an opportunity to strengthen relationships by making sure their cards remain the preferred choice wherever members choose to pay.” – Norm Patrick, VP of Payments & Deposits Consulting at Advisors Plus, a Velera company

Quarterly Metrics Update

The October edition of the Payments Index also features a quarterly metrics update, including:

Credit Card Balances: The average credit card balance decreased $8, or 0.26%, year over year to $2,951, while total credit card balances fell 0.9%. The modest declines suggest cardholders are maintaining relatively steady balances despite ongoing pressures from higher household costs.
Delinquencies: Credit card delinquencies slightly increased in September, but remained in line with typical seasonal patterns and historical trends. The delinquency rate rose to 2.63%, up nine basis points (3.5%) year over year. Delinquency rates remained higher among younger generations, led by Gen Z at 4.4% and Millennials at 3.4%, compared with 2.4% for Gen X and 1.8% for Boomers.
Digital Wallet Activity: Debit remained the primary driver of digital wallet growth, with transactions increasing 41% year over year compared to 37% for credit. Digital wallets now account for 14.7% of all debit transactions and 8.5% of credit transactions, with debit’s deeper penetration reinforcing its role as a key driver of adoption. Digital wallets have evolved into a more significant payment channel, as seen by the robust growth and expanding payment penetration.

More in-depth insights into Velera’s quarterly metrics update can be found by downloading the October 2026 Payments Index.

What Should Credit Unions Do Now?

Credit unions should consider the following strategies to maintain relevance, maximize engagement and best support their members:

Looking Ahead

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will convene on October 27-28. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to pause its tightening schedule and hold the federal funds rate steady at its current range of 3.75% to 4.00%. Inflation data from September likely strengthens the case for one additional rate hike before year-end, with the market expecting this to happen during the December meeting.

We hope that our credit unions can make informed and strategic decisions to best serve their members by leveraging insights from this and future editions of the Velera Payments Index.

Strategic Insights for Success